Service Plays Wednesday 09/09/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bet

Detroit Shock at Minnesota Lynx (E, 160)

The WNBA playoffs are approaching. Sometimes it's easy to tell which teams are aware of that.

The Shock were 9-14 on Aug. 21 but have won seven of their last eight games (6-1-1 against the spread) to climb from sixth to third in the Eastern Conference. The Lynx were 10-7 on July 27 but have lost 11 of their last 14 games (4-9-1 ATS) to fall from second to fifth in the Western Conference.

The Shock are 3-1 without second-leading scorer Katie Smith, who remains sidelined with a back injury. The Lynx are 9-16 without leading scorer Seimone Augustus, who has been out since June with a knee injury.

The Shock have made the playoffs every year since 2003. The Lynx have missed the playoffs every year since 2005.

Detroit has won six of the last eight meetings, all of which have seen the total go over.

Pick: Detroit. The over is worth a look as well.
 
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ChicagoSportsConnection.

ChicagoSportsConnection.
WHITE SOX -125 vs Oakland....8:10 EDT

The Sox took it on the chin last night Vs the A's...which will give them more incentive tonight.

Sweaty Freddy Garcia has been great since returning from the dead.
We will throw a little extra on Freddy and the Stinky Sox tonight.

As they like to proclaim at McDonald's...."I'M LOVIN' IT".

Good luck to us.
TINCUP









........................................................................
 
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Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS


PHILADELPHIA (LEE) -210

Washington (Mock)


DETROIT (VERLANDER) -190

Kansas City (Tejeda)


TAMPA BAY (NIEMANN) +135

Yankees (Chamberlain)


Run Totals

Tampa Bay / Yankees UNDER 10

Detroit / Kansas City UNDER 8

St. Louis / Milwaukee UNDER 8

Florida / Mets OVER 9
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Twins Tuesday night.

Today it's the Braves. The surplus is 1,090 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo's deficit took a turn for the worse last night when the Tigers wussed out in Kansas City to put the big red ugly number at 890 decinceses.

Tonight, as per the advice of The Post's Howard "Summer Hoops" Kussoy, Mr. Aitch will attempt to continue rebounding with Berken and Haren. Ten units apiece on the Orioles and D'backs.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Tampa Bay (72-67) at N.Y. Yankees (90-50)

The Yankees go for a four-game sweep of the Rays and look to move another step closer to wrapping up the A.L. East title when they send Joba Chamberlain (8-5, 4.41 ERA) to the mound against Tampa Bay rookie Jeff Niemann (12-5, 3.67).

After sweeping a day-night doubleheader from Tampa Bay on Monday by a combined score of 15-2, New York used some final-bat heroics on Tuesday, getting a walk-off home run from Nick Swisher in the bottom of the ninth to win 3-2. In addition to taking the first three games of this series, the Yankees have won 11 of their last 13, allowing three runs or fewer in eight of those contests.

New York is on additional surges of 52-18 overall, 42-13 at home, 26-6 against divisional foes, 14-4 against teams with a winning record, 39-13 on Wednesday, 37-18 against right-handed starters and 43-17 as a favorite. Joe Girardi’s club is the first to 90 wins and now leads the A.L. East by nine games.

The Rays have now dropped a season-high seven in a row, tallying three runs or less five times, and they’re just 3-12 in their last 15 contests, a slump that has all but ended their hopes of a return trip to the postseason. Tampa Bay is also in ruts of 0-6 against right-handed starters and 1-6 versus the A.L. East.

New York has won seven of the last eight meetings against Tampa Bay this year and is 58-24 in the last 82 series clashes in the Bronx.

Niemann was outstanding in his last two starts, both against the Tigers, giving up just three runs over a combined 14 2/3 innings, but his bullpen imploded in both games, with the Rays losing both by a 4-3 score. Still, Tampa Bay is on runs behind Niemann of 14-6 overall, 5-1 on Wednesday and 5-1 versus the A.L. East, but they’ve lost four of his last five on the highway, where the big right-hander is 7-3 with a 4.47 ERA in 16 starts.

Neimann’s lone start against the Yankees came in the Bronx on May 7, giving up two runs on three hits and four walks in just 3 1/3 innings, but Tampa Bay pulled out an 8-6 victory.

Chamberlain has lasted just three innings in his last two starts and hasn’t gone longer than five in his last four outings. The right-hander gave up three runs (two earned) on six hits and two walks on Thursday at Toronto, losing 6-0. Chamberlain has gone six straight starts without a quality outing going back to the end of July, and he’s 1-3 with a 7.96 ERA during this stretch.

Despite Chamberlain’s recent struggles, with the 23-year-old on the hill, New York is still on runs of 15-6 overall, 17-4 at home, 23-9 as a chalk, 7-1 against division rivals and 5-0 on Wednesday. For the season, he’s 3-3 with a 5.38 ERA in 15 home starts, and he’s 1-0 with a 1.21 ERA in nine career appearances (two starts, both this season) against Tampa Bay.

For Tampa Bay, the “under” is on runs of 6-2 on the road, 10-4 as an underdog, 36-17-4 against right-handed starters, 18-8 against right-handed starters and 7-3 with Niemann starting. Meanwhile, New York is on “over” stretches of 6-3 overall, 9-4 against the A.L. East, 7-3 against winning teams, 5-1 behind Chamberlain overall, 5-0 when he starts at home and 18-6-1 when he pitches as a favorite. However, the under is 17-8-1 in the Yankees’ last 26 games in the Bronx.

Finally, the under is 6-2 in the last seven battles between these rivals and 11-5 in the last 16 clashes in New York.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER


Seattle (72-67) at L.A. Angels (82-55)

The Mariners continue a 10-game, three-city A.L. West road trip at Angel Stadium, with Ian Snell (4-1, 4.89 ERA) slated to matchup against Los Angeles ace Jered Weaver (14-5, 3.74.

The Angels got a run in the bottom of the 10th inning to take Tuesday’s series opener 3-2. Los Angeles has won six of its last nine, giving up a total of just 18 runs in the process. However, the Angels’ once-red-hot offense has been held to three runs or fewer in six of its last seven games. Mike Scioscia’s club is on runs of 54-25 overall, 11-3 in the second game of a series and 5-2 on Wednesday.

Seattle has lost three in a row following a four-game winning streak and it is now 19-41 in its last 60 games as an underdog. On the bright side, the Mariners are on upticks of 7-4 against A.L. West foes, 5-1 versus right-handed starters, 13-3 on Wednesday and 4-0 in Game 2 of a series.

The Mariners still hold a 9-8 edge in the season series, but they’re just 9-21 in their last 30s games at Angel Stadium.

After getting blown out in Snell’s first three starts with the club by a combined score of 25-7, the Mariners have won four straight behind the right-hander, including Thursday’s 7-4 victory at Oakland. Snell has allowed a total of seven runs (six earned) over 21 2/3 innings in his last four trips to the mound (2.49 ERA).

Since being dealt to the Mariners at the end of July, Snell is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in three road outings. His only previous start against the Angels came in an interleague game when he was with Pittsburgh in 2007, and he got rocked, allowing five runs on 10 hits in six innings of a 10-1 road defeat.

Weaver has been tremendous in his last two outings, allowing just one run over 13 innings, getting a no-decision in a 4-3 home loss to Oakland, then earning a 2-1 win at Kansas City on Friday. The Angels are 15-5 in Weaver’s last 20 starts overall and 36-16 in his last 52 at home, where he’s 8-2 with a 2.89 ERA in 15 outings in 2009.

Weaver is 7-3 with a 4.75 ERA in 13 career starts versus the Mariners, including 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in two contests this season (both in April). The Halos have won five straight home games against Seattle with Weaver on the bump.

The under is 20-7 in Seattle’s last 27 games versus the A.L. West and 15-2 in its last 17 on Wednesday, but the over is 7-4-1 in the M’s last 12 roadies. Meanwhile, the Angels have stayed under the number in six straight games overall and four of five on Wednesday, but the over is 20-9 in their last 29 at home and 35-18-3 in their last 55 when favored. Also, with Weaver pitching, the “over” is on runs of 11-3 overall, 6-2 at home, 9-3 as a favorite and 10-1 when he faces Seattle.

Lastly, the under is 7-2 in the last nine Mariners-Angels battles.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS
 
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WNBA Basketball Picks
DUNKEL

Detroit at Minnesota

The Ly*x look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 trips to Minnesota. Minnesota is the pick (Pick) according to Dunkel, which has the Ly*x favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota. Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.391; Minnesota 113.111
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 168
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 159
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota; Over
 
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DUNKEL

Texas at Cleveland

The Indians look to build on their 6-2 record in Fausto Carmona's last 8 home starts as an underdog between +110 and +150. Cleveland is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 9
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 13.987; Pittsburgh (Hart) 14.244
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.837; Milwaukee (Suppan) 16.020
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-215); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+195); Over

Game 955-956: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Leblanc) 15.403; San Francisco (Zito) 15.923
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-170); Under

Game 957-958: Philadelphia vs. Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.429; Washington (Mock) 14.329
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+180); Over

Game 959-960: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.109; NY Mets (Misch) 14.663
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-130); Under

Game 961-962: Atlanta at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.707; Houston (Rodriguez) 14.686
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+125); Over

Game 963-964: Cincinnati at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.506; Colorado (Hammel) 16.106
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Over

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Garland) 15.175; Arizona (Haren) 15.465
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-130); Over

Game 967-968: Texas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.799; Cleveland (Carmona) 15.271
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Under

Game 969-970: Minnesota at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 15.083; Toronto (Halladay) 16.457
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-210); Over

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.550; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 15.739
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 16.204; Boston (Byrd) 15.143
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 12
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+180); Over

Game 975-976: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.337; Kansas City (Tejeda) 14.826
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-190); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-190); Over

Game 977-978: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.640; White Sox (Garcia) 16.334
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over

Game 979-980: Seattle at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Snell) 14.825; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.081
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-210); Over
 

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SuperSportsGroup - 9/9

MLB

Cubs v. Pirates 12:35pm
PICK: Pirates ML +135 (8*)Best Bet

Texas v. Cleveland 12pm
PICK: Indians ML +130 (7*)
 
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Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost (4 in a row) again on Tuesday with the White Sox -$150/A's.

For Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Astros -$130/Braves.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-1 -$150 for the week and 77-58 -$1700 for the MLB season.
 
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WNBA LONG SHEET


Wednesday, September 9

DETROIT (16 - 15) at MINNESOTA (13 - 18) - 9/9/2009, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Jim Feist's Inner Circle Baseball Game of the Year!

MLB (977) OAKLAND ATHLETICS VS (978) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Take: (978) CHICAGO WHITE SOX

Reason: Inner Circle Game of the Year: White Sox. Chicago showed some life this week, taking 3 of 4 from Boston. They have a very good home record and play their 6th straight home game here. Last place Oakland has a poor road mark and is a long way from home. They also have nothing to play for. Oakland 21-year old stater Trevor Cahill (8-12) has a 4.66 ERA and really struggles away from Oakland's big home park, with a 2-5 record and a 4.99 ERA on the road, which is not uncommon with young pitchers. Freddie Garcia won his last starter, holding the Red Sox to one run over six solid innings. A cheap price on the hot home team. Play the White Sox.
 

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Destroy the book

10*fla/mets over 9
10*detroit-185
7*balty/boston over 10.5
5*arizona-123
5*t.b.+137

4-2 yesterday
 

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ThunderBets hot soccer tips!

Armenia v. Belgium : 2 1.76

Malta v. Sweden Number of goals: Over 3.5 goals 1.94

Brazil v. Chile : 1 1.58

Brazil v. Chile over 2.5 goals 1.69
 

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Mike Stone - WinWithSharps

Premium Plays

500 unit MLB Tigers vs Royals OVER 8
Premium Play Overall Run: 30-17
College Football Run: 2-0
NFL Run: 2-1
Baseball Run: 26-16
 

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